Ahead of tomorrow's Apple event, James R. A. Davenport — author of the data and visualisation blog ifweassume.com — decided to investigate the data behind Apple's product refreshes. Here, he shares his findings about refresh times and changing prices.
As an Apple computer fan I've been a long time reader of Mac Rumours, a website that reports great Mac news and rumours. One great feature is their Buyer's Guide, which tracks the refresh history data (and rumours) to suggest when products are due for an upgrade.
I've been wondering if (a) Apple products are actually getting cheaper over time, and (b) if Apple is refreshing products faster?
Here's the base cost versus the days since last refresh for a bunch of current Apple products on Mac Rumours:
Some products change in price quite a bit, most don't. The refresh timescales also move around quite a bit.
1. Autumn Is the Season of New Toys
This of course makes sense: computers and tech are big items for Back-To-School sales.
2. MacBook Air Keeps Getting Better!
I've long held that the 13-inch MacBook Air is by far the best laptop Apple makes, and it's one of the only products that show a continuous decay in price. The Air has steadily transformed from a niche high-end portable to the standard entry-level laptop!
3. Update Times Are Getting Slightly Shorter
This isn't a highly significant result, but it's interesting that release timescales in the last 2-3 years have started to converge to a slightly lower span.
4. Cheaper Products Usually Get Renewed Slower
...except for the Mac Pro, which is the most neglected Apple product usually. This result was very counterintuitive to me, I figured there would be more volatility in the lower-price products and thus shorter refresh timescales. This "trend" is driven by the rapid refresh times of the Air and Retina laptops.
This post first appeared on ifweassume.com and is republished here with kind permission from James R. A. Davenport. James is a PhD candidate in Astronomy at the University of Washington in Seattle, and author of the data and visualisation blog ifweassume.com.