Zuck dropped the knowledge in a talk at Y Combinator’s startup school today. He put it this way to Y Combinator co-founder Paul Graham:
It’s sort of social networking version of Moore’s Law. We expect this rate [of sharing] will double every 10 years. So in 10 years from now, people will be sharing about 1000 times as many things as they do today.
That’s an awful big increase, don’t you think? Is there even 1,000 times as much stuff to share? With the advent of tech like Google Glass, maybe long, rambling videos will become more popular, as will insanely huge and boring picture albums, but still, 1,000 times?
The possibility Zuck seems to be ignoring here is a social crash. We’ve seen people arrested over Facebook posts, so maybe we’ll collectively learn not to share everything all the time. That’s not to say volume won’t increase, but I doubt it’ll get up to 1000 times as much. What would that even look like? I know I’d rather not find out. [CNET]