The Probability Of Finding Aliens Is Now Three Times Higher

The total number of stars in the Universe “is likely three times bigger than realised“. Yale University astronomer Pieter van Dokkum says there are “possibly trillions of Earths orbiting these stars”, dramatically increasing the possibility finding or be found by aliens.

According to the new study just published in Nature, new observations on the red end of the optical spectrum at the W. M. Keck Observatory in Hawaii show an overwhelming population of red dwarfs in eight massive nearby elliptical galaxies. The team has discovered that this galaxies hold 20 times more red dwarfs than the Milky Way.

Van Dokkum says that “there are possibly trillions of Earths orbiting these stars” which are “typically more than 10 billion years old”. According to him, that’s long enough for complex life to evolve, which is “one reason why people are interested in this type of star”. In fact, astronomers discovered the first exoplanet similar to our own Earth – and therefore capable of harbouring complex life – orbiting the Gliese 581 red dwarf star system, 20.3 light years from our home planet.

The discovery doesn’t only have a deep impact on the search for extraterrestrial life, but also on our understanding of galaxy formation and the Universe itself. Team member Charlie Conroy – of the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics – says that this might be a sign that galaxies contain less dark matter than originally suspected, since the abundance of red dwarfs “could contribute more mass than realised”. [Nature and Keck Observatory]

Discuss

(12 Comments)
  • [–]

    Charles

    Friday, December 3, 2010 at 7:59 AM

    Three times zero is still zero. Given that the universe is almost infinitely large and almost infinitely old, if there was any potential at all for life on other planets they would be everywhere and obvious. In fact they’d be here right now talking to us (or enslaving us!) The simplest explanation is that we are unique in the universe, so we need to get out there and start making ours!

    • [–]

      Heath

      Friday, December 3, 2010 at 9:00 AM

      Wow, that’s an ignorant point of view.

      We are incapable of interstellar travel and communication, what makes you think other life forms are able to break the speed of light (the universal speed limit) to come visit/communicate with us?

      Evidence of other life in other galaxies may never happen, but it’s the most retarded thing to say that there is no life other than that on earth.

    • [–]

      Chewy Bravo

      Friday, December 3, 2010 at 9:19 AM

      What if life in the universe is not intelligent?How could they “talk” to us? What if we have missed the rise and fall of countless civilizations. We are separated not only by distance but time as well possibly billions of years. The new discovery of bacteria incorporating arsenic in its DNA has now increased the odds of life even more. Numbers dont lie. When there is a solar system around a star then have billions of stars in a galaxy and then billions of galaxies in the universe, i think its not possible to say that we are alone

      • [–]

        Charles

        Friday, December 3, 2010 at 10:13 AM

        But that’s exactly my point. There are billions of stars in our galaxy and billions of galaxies. The size of the universe is nearly infinite. In such a situation there has been nearly infinite opportunities for other civilizations to develop intelligence and become starfaring. And they don’t need to have developed faster than light travel, as there has also been sufficient time for them to reach every part of the universe. We ourselves could start this process now. We have the technology.

        But where are they? There should be lots of evidence of their existence, even to our relatively limited technology, but instead there’s nothing. Absolutely nothing.

        Occam’s Razor says that the simplest explanation is the most likely to be correct. The simplest explanation for this is that life has not developed anywhere else. That for some reason we are unique in all of space and time.

        This is why it’s so vital for us to start exploring so that we are not wiped out on this single tiny, apparently unique, planet.

    • [–]

      olearymo

      Friday, December 3, 2010 at 10:14 AM

      Oh, is it Occam’s Razor time already?

      The ‘simplest explanation’. Well, the simplest explanation is that the Earth is flat. I mean, look around you. Does it look curved? Pretty simple.

      The simplest explanation is that whales are fish. They have fins, tails, swim in the water.

      The simplest explanation is that bad spirits make you sick. What, bacteria? Where? I can’t see them.

      Get a brain.

      • [–]

        Lillee

        Friday, December 3, 2010 at 10:59 AM

        @Charles I would be deeply and profoundly disapointed if humans are the only intelligent life in the universe and god only chose us flawed beasts as his only creation.

        We can’t find them because we’re too stupid and the universe is too big.

      • [–]

        Matthew

        Friday, December 3, 2010 at 9:37 PM

        Either we are alone in the universe, or we are not. Both options are equally terrifying.

  • [–]

    Daniel Betteridge

    Friday, December 3, 2010 at 1:14 PM

    @Charles, your comment about there having been sufficient time to travel to every corner of the universe is demonstrably fallacious, the current maximum speed we know of is only 3×10^8 m/s and it would have required billions of years for intelligent spacefaring life to develop on other planets, therefore in a huge constantly expanding universe it seems highly unlikely that any civilisation could have travelled more then say 10 billion light years from their home world. That is assuming that speed of light travel is achievable and sustainable for extended periods.

    • [–]

      Charles

      Friday, December 3, 2010 at 2:39 PM

      Okay, even if they’ve only travelled 10 billion light years, that’s still enough of space that we should detect something. But there’s nothing.

      Don’t get me wrong, I’d be happy for us to discover life elsewhere. But the evidence, or rather lack thereof, says otherwise.

  • [–]

    Redfire

    Friday, December 3, 2010 at 1:53 PM

    @Charles, your under the assumption that other life has’nt ALREADY visted this planet and we are not in contact with off world civilisations right now

  • [–]

    Paul Cherry

    Saturday, December 4, 2010 at 12:59 AM

    The wraith never found Earth and got all hungry on us.

  • [–]

    Jokemeister

    Saturday, December 4, 2010 at 5:32 PM

    Charles, you’ve been watching too many Sci Fi flicks. Do a bit of basic homework on Voyager spacecraft etc. and the Oort Cloud and you’ll soon realise that the fastest object man has ever built took over 10 years to travel past Pluto which is a mere 1/50th of the way to the Oort Cloud which is considered the boundary of our solar system, not our galaxy, just our solar system. That’s well over 500 years to leave our solar system and only a fraction of the way to the nearest sun beyond our solar system. The reality is that no human will ever leave our solar system. Travelling the universe Star Trek style is a complete and utter fantasy….and even supposing you disagree from a technology standpoint, there are trillions of stars to choose from. Which one do you propose to visit to seek alien life. The same arguments apply to aliens coming to us in case you hadn’t considered that. A Short History of Nearly Everything by Bill Bryson is a really good read and amusing to boot.

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